How to bet on the Over/Under goal Market
One of the most popular sports betting markets is the goal Market Up / Down .
Also known as Over / Under and More/Less , it allows you to bet on the number of:
- Sets
- Games
- Point
- Goals
This type of bet is ideal for bettors who know the defensive and offensive statistics of the teams well.
But not only!
Knowing the most particular aspects of each modality is also important. In addition to the climatic conditions and the field of each event!
So that you don't have any doubts about how to bet on the Over/Under market, we have put together this complete guide.
Reliable bookmakers
- 700+ casino games & slots
- VIP program & regular promotions
- $1 minimum deposit
Payment methods
How Over / Under works
Betting on Over / Under means bet on total points that there will be in a match. The sum of both teams is taken into account.
Talking about points, however, is a bit wrong, as not every sport works for points. Classic Football case .
If you do not understand this, you can make some mistakes when betting on this market.
So that you do not get lost, we will be more specific. We will bring examples of 4 main modalities in this market:
- Football
- Tennis
- Basketball
- Volleyball
1. Over/Under in football
Goals are the most important Football . And it is on them that you will bet if you opt for the above/below market.
Let's use as an example the match between Guild and Bay , in New Zealand.
As you can see in the image, Over/Under in football is versatile. You can bet on total number of goals or only in the 1st half.
Let's say you bet on the Plus 2,5 total. Profit would come if in the whole game occurred at least 3 goals.
If it was at least 1.5, there would only be a victory if only 1 goal came out.
2. Plus / minus in tennis
No Tennis we do not have the goals as a reference, but the games . We remind you that each match has 2-3 Sets.
Whoever wins 6 games first wins a Set. Provided that there is a difference of 2 points between the tennis players.
So a Set can have 6 games, 7, 10 or more. Just like in football, it is difficult to predict how many games there will be in a match.
In many bookmakers you can bet on Up/down in the 1st Set or the whole game.
As an example, if you bet that there will be More than 9.5 games in the 1st Set, there needs to be 10 games to come out a winner.
3. Over / Under in basketball
When the market is Up / Down in basketball we can talk about points.
Don't be surprised when you see a high number. In Basketball it is normal for the total score to always exceed 100.
This number will vary according to the clashes. Teams with better offensive capabilities often make more baskets.
In the example above, you can bet above or below 240.5 points on the match between Milwaukee Bucks and Brooklyn Nets.
If you bet no Under , it is necessary that in the sum the teams do not score more than 240 points.
4. Over / Under in volleyball
O Volleyball it's a special case. In this modality there are points and Sets , so the market brings more possibilities.
Still, not all houses offer this double possibility. In some cases, the Yukon Gold , there are only Over / Under for points .
Houses with Over / Under
- 700+ casino games & slots
- VIP program & regular promotions
- $1 minimum deposit
Payment methods
How To Succeed In This Market?
Now you know how the above/below market works in the main sports modalities.
But this alone is not a guarantee of success. Every bettor needs to have some attitudes if they want to do well in this market.
Even more so in football, which is not at all predictable.
The main one is to know very well the sport in which you are betting. If you've never seen a football game, there's no point in betting on it.
Study and be constantly informed about the modality and its competitions!
And to help you have profitable bets in the over / under Goal market, we bring below some infallible tips on the market.
1. Use Statistics
This type of market is one of the most unpredictable. To reduce this problem and not just stay on intuition, it should use statistics .
Statistics are key. They indicate the team behaviors in relation to everything. Including in relation to scoring goals.
You know Barcelona scores a lot of goals at Camp Nou. And away from home? And in classics?
We know that having the specific statistics for each event is laborious. But without them, betting on this market is a long shot.
Something you can do is analyze the last 5 games of the teams. See how many goals they scored. This gives a good foundation.
Look at the lineup of the teams it's also important. If there is a last-minute embezzlement, this can interfere.
The sites in the following list are great sources of Statistics. Consult them!
- SoccerStats
- FootyStats
- Football Investment
- SofaScore
- My Results
Understand: here's how using statistics in sports betting .
2. Never bet on classics
The classics, also called Derbies , are not the smartest choice for this market.
This type of match, regardless of the modality, usually 8 or 80 . Either you have a lot of goals or you are in that 1-1 draw at the most.
Due to the unpredictable nature of these games, the best is opt for more obvious matches . Focus on one with a super team against a weaker one.
So there are more chances for you to predict more accurately the amount of goals.
3. Ignore the Odds
The odds are not always going to be the highest in this market. Which doesn't have to be a problem if you're smart.
Prefer little return, but guaranteed return.
So if you notice that you can have a win betting on this market, even if small, bet!
NOTE: see our article on the operation of odds .
4. Analyze the event in isolation
You have chosen the match between Real Madrid vs. Club Brugge. The Real is infinitely superior to its opponent.
We know that playing at home Meringues are even stronger . In addition, they have a very strong attack.
The Madrileños still came from a thrashing to an almost reserve team of PSG in the previous game. They need to show the fans work!
Therefore, analyzing only this event, you can predict that Real Madrid will try to apply a thrashing.
Betting on over 2.5 and can also be good in this case.
Sometimes it's better analyze an event in isolation . Real Madrid vs. Club Brugge is an example of this.
They are two very disparate teams in terms of skill. And the moment of Real, playing at home, “requires” him to score a lot of goals.
This is also working with statistics, but even more specifically.
Advanced strategy in Over / Under
On the websites we have listed above, such as SoccerStats, you have access to the statistics of goals scored and conceded from all the leagues in the world.
Starting from this and the tips we have given you, you can build an effective strategy to profit whenever possible in this market.
Let's therefore go through a step by step, which you can also check out on the Pinnacle website.
Step 1: knowing the number of goals per game
At SoccerStats we can discover the average number of goals per game of all football leagues.
The trend is for bettors to focus on the major leagues. But statistics say that the minor leagues have more goals.
Among the 10 leagues with a goal average above 3.5 per match, there are none of the main ones, such as Premier League or Serie A Tim.
With this tool, you have access to the leagues in which the most goals occur and those in which the fewest shots are scored.
Knowing these numbers will give you much more control over your bets. You can go straight to an event with better odds.
Step 2: calculating goal probabilities
The second step is calculate the odds of goals of a match. For this we use the Poisson system.
We can determine the possibility of a team scoring x goals from 0 to 4 or more just by using that team's average of tries.
So let's go to the practical examples below.
The home team is expected to score 1.2 goals in one match. The visitor gets 0.8.
| Goal average | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 or more |
| 0,8 | 45% | 36% | 14% | 4% | 1% |
| 1,2 | 30% | 36% | 22% | 9% | 3% |
| 1,6 | 20% | 32% | 26% | 14% | 8% |
| 2,00 | 14% | 27% | 27% | 18% | 14% |
In this sense we can determine that it is best to bet on Under 2,5.
Still, you can calculate the probability that the match will end with the amount of goals you want.
In other words, there is a 67.56% chance that the result will be below 2.5 goals.
Step 3: check if the Odd is worth it
We said above that it is worth a lot more odd low , but more guaranteed, than a odd high and very unpredictable.
In any case it is always good to check if the BET in question is worth it. In the above case it is easy to do this.
Just divide 100 by 67.56%, which gives an odd of 1.48.
Therefore, the ideal is to find a house that pays more than this amount. But of course this cannot be a determinant.
The important thing is to find an event in which you can be sure that it is worth betting on the Over/Under market.
Conclusion
The above tips and strategies do not guarantee wins in the Over/Under goal Market.
What they do is facilitate the discovery of value bets in this market.
This brings security to your betting plan. In addition to ensuring that in the long run there are more profits than losses.
There are many tools and resources to be used when betting on this market. Especially if it's in football.
Sports statistics are accessible all over the internet, and sometimes on the internet itself. betting sites .
Nothing prevents you from applying what you have learned in other ways.
As long as you know the sport, be it tennis, basketball or volleyball, you can find great value bets also outside of football.
This is good for those who want to diversify the modalities, but still want to bet on the Over/Under market.
Houses to bet on Over / Under
- 700+ casino games & slots
- VIP program & regular promotions
- $1 minimum deposit
Payment methods
Frequently Asked Questions
⚽ How does the goal market work?
Betting on Over / Under means betting on the total points that will be in a match. The sum of both teams is taken into account.
🏆 Which League scores the most goals?
It is difficult to answer, since football is an unpredictable sport. However, if you choose to bet on this market, avoid betting on classics, as thrashes are more unlikely to happen.
🧮 How to calculate the probability of goals?
We can determine the possibility of a team scoring x goals from 0 to 4 or more just by using that team's average of tries.
🥅 How does the goal market work at bet365?
In the same way as in other bookmakers. When to access Bet365 , just choose the football mode and find the market and Over/Under or Plus / Minus. You will see the odds and according to your studies, you can bet on the one that makes the most sense for your strategy.
🤔 What does more than 2.5 goals mean?
It means that you believe that a certain team will score more than 2 goals in the match.
